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Friday, April 13, 2007

Open House Sunday -- 617 Fleming Street




Please visit me on Sunday, April 15th between 11:30 AM - 2:00 PM at Campbell Courtyard, 617 Fleming Street to see
what I call a Slice O' Paradise. CLICK HERE for more pics and information on this charming two story cottage right in the very heart of Old Town Key West. It is two blocks to Duval and three blocks to the Historic Seaport. But tucked away in a quiet little island on the Isle of Key West.

This charming 2 bed / 2 bath home was recently appraised and is priced at the appraised value, $785,000. The home is an eyebrow house, and it sits at the rear of the Campbell Courtyard compound. The home is offered fully furnished as well. The home has an excellent rental history and would make an excellent investment for folks who want to buy a little place in Key West that can help pay for itself.

If the charm, convenience,location, furnishings, ability to rent the home but still use it and don't win you over, maybe this will. It also has privately owned off street parking space. Bring your checkbook. Let's write an offer this Slice O'Paradise this weekend.

Trouble (Ya Got Trouble) Fractured





ALBUM: The Music Man
ARTIST: Meredith Willson
FRACTURED BY: Yours Truly

Oh, we got trouble
Right here in Key West City
Right here in Key West City
With a capital 'T' and that rhymes with 'P' and that stands for 'Phool'
That stands for Phool
We surely got trouble
We surely got trouble
Right here in Key West City
Right here

I recently responded to a query from Solares Hill Newspaper regarding advice on listing ones home. In my reply I added my thoughts on what I see as a very troublesome matter. Key West has a bunch of brand new $2 million (and up!) town homes, condominiums, and single family spec homes being built or currently available for purchase. (I have even written about several such projects in this blog.) Key West does not enough buyers for all of these projects. In fact we don't have enough buyers for town homes, condos. and single family homes that already exist and that are far more affordably priced.

I then suggested that the developers and the bankers financing these "over-priced" projects are in for a rude awakening. I assume that there may be some pre-sales on the projects, because lenders require it. But I believe that most of the pre-sales are to insiders of the individual developers or are buyers who signed up for units a couple of years ago when the Key West market was entirely different. And only a Phool believes that the $2 million asking prices are achievable. Not on one unit and certainly not one hundred,

I think the big projects being built at the Key West Historic Seaport, the Atlantic Shores, and the Casa Marina will be built, but proably be built in phases. I predict that some of the smaller projects will finish units under construction but not commence any more units until the market rebounds.

If the asking price on existing inventory (completed or nearly completed) is not substanitally reduced, the lenders will eventually step in. I think the only reason that the local banks have not foreclosed yet is that the banks are continuing to fund the interest payments out of the construction loans themselves. One of these days the OCC (federal Bank Examiners) is going to require the banks to start writing down the non-performing loans, and when that happens the prices will get reduced.

The smart lenders will not dictate the sales price, because when the project invariably goes south (and that is my prediction for many of these projects), the lender would be setting it up for a defense of creditor interference. But if the developers do not convert the units to sales and if they are unable to pay down the construction loan as agreed, we should anticipate the bank going into ownership either through foreclousure or by deed in lieu of foreclosure.

There is just too much inventory out there. There are not enough buyers. The prices are still too high. And the sky is going to fall.

Oh, and if you think my prediction is contrary to what I have previously written about individual projects, I don't agree. Quality homes in a good location always sell for a higher price than inferior quality properties or properties in less desirable locations. The problem is not the projects, it is the current pricing.

f you are looking to purchase a home in Key West, please CLICK HERE to search the mls website for all current mls listings. Then please consider giving me a call to help you find your next home, vacation home, or commercial property in Paradise. 1-305-766-2642.

Thursday, April 12, 2007

Lost and Not Forgotten



There is a story in today's Key West Citizen that locals and anyone thinking of buying a home in Key West should read and ponder. It relates to the homeless population in Key West. CLICK HERE for the article.

According to the article city officials and citizens are complaining about the homeless population. "At a meeting Wednesday, city officials pressed Police Chief Bill Mauldin to do something it. Mauldin acknowledged the issue, even admitted his staff could do a better job, and promised certain strategies to tackle the problem." Hah. That's a laugh.

A few years back Key West elected a new mayor who was a compassionate soul, but a terrible leader. She wanted to create clean and comfortable space for the homeless to congregate. Drama, drama, drama, not in my backyard, more drama. A lot of well intentioned people wanting to help people who will not help themselves. Many are emotionally disturbed--or worse.

A couple of years ago an official from the City of Key West (worked directly under the City Manager) spoke to our office regarding a variety of city issues. I asked him why the City of Key West refuses to do anything to curtail the homeless situation like locking up people who violate the law. I specifically pointed out the Palm Beach does not have a homeless population. They don't allow it. No tolerance.

He came back and said that it costs some exaggerated dollar amount to arrest anyone and hold them in our new county jail. The figure he cited was in the several hundred dollar range.

I went right back at him and said his figures were ludicrous. I said if you include the amortization on the cost of the jail, the staff of the Key West Police Department, the staff of the Monroe County Sheriff's Office, and their respective retirement plans, then maybe the cost per inmate might amount to that figure. I added that the Sheriff is renting cell space to Miami-Dade County so that our county is profiting from the out of county inmates, whereas putting our own lawbreakers in jail costs us money. Why would anybody in their right mind put away people who cost you money when you can lockup people who make you money. I get it!

The homeless of Key West may be lost, but they are not forgotten. I will now get off my soapbox.

The pic above was taken by a tourist in the Key West Cemetery. What a nice way to remember your vacation in Key West.

Tuesday, April 10, 2007

Thar "almost" Sold in them thar Solares Hill



In spite of all the doom and gloom about the depressed real estate market in Key West, there are occasional bright spots. We had one over the weekend. And another office had an equally pleasing weekend as well.

I have written a couple of blogs about listings at 612 Olivia priced at
$3.2 million and 616 Olivia priced at $2.1 million. A single buyer purchased both homes over the weekend and will close within the next two weeks. I mention this because it reinforces what I previously wrote about certain segments of the market continuing to be strong. The high end homes always do well if they are in the right location.

Another big house at 620 Eaton that was originally priced at $8.5 million and reduced to $4.5 million also went under contract. That property was way over-priced when it was originally listed. It did not go down in value. There is a difference.

Another home I wrote about at 1400 Whalton that was priced at $2,995,0000 went pending yesterday. Whoever is buying this home is getting a bargain. It was under-priced so that it would sell this season. It is one of the most beautiful homes that I have ever seen. Anywhere.


I see each of these properties as a positive sign for continued positive sales opportunities for well located quality homes. Now, if the rest of the market would follow.

If you are looking to purchase a home in Key West, please CLICK HERE to search the mls website for all current mls listings. Then please consider giving me a call to help you find your next home, vacation home, or commercial property in Paradise. 1-305-766-2642.

Monday, April 9, 2007

How to Sell your Home in Key West




"What is the SINGLE most important thing someone selling a house should when putting a property on the market, and why?" That is the question posed by Nancy Klinger, Editor of Solares Hill newspaper to various Realtors for possible inclusion in an upcoming column she is preparing.

My Response: Get an appraisal form a qualified professional appraiser and list your home at or below the appraised value. Then use the appraisal in your marketing to show that your list price is reasonable.

The Key West real estate market is volatile right now. Prices continue to drop daily because listing Realtors (or their customers) set asking prices that were too high. The inventory of unsold homes is at an all time high, and the selling season is coming to a screeching halt in a few weeks—in my opinion.

Some Realtors are famous for obtaining listings by charming sellers into believing they can sell their home in spite of the market downturn.
Once the house is exposed to the market and there are no buyers (or maybe not even any lookers) the agent then suggests that the asking price be lowered. And the property sits and sits and sits. The “For Sale” sign gathers dust.

My suggestion is based on years of professional experience in selling bank owned real estate. We had an appraisal on every single house or commercial property we owned. We did not just rely on the opinion of the Realtors we used to sell the property. That would be foolhardy no matter how knowledable the Realtor may be because he has a vested interest in getting the listing and achieving the sale. Banks need an independent opinion of value that is not clouded by the potential of individual gain.

Even appraisers are having a difficult time arriving at opinions of value today, because they use past sales as indicia of what the current value is. But in a market of declining values (and that is generally what we are experiencing in Key West), the appraiser’s job is especially difficult.

Banks are required to follow federal banking regulations on how they treat assets acquired through foreclosure. If the asset value cannot be justified by appraisal, the asset must be written down to a verifiable amount. The balance must be charged off. So the bank takes a financial hit. But it is this process that keeps the banks from trying to obtain a “wish price” for property owned through foreclosure.

I suggest that homeowners adopt the same approach in pricing their homes for sale. With the appraisal in hand, the listing Realtor should then list the house at the appraised price and use the appraisal in marketing the property.

When you go to SEARS to buy a TV you may see several brands with various options at different prices. You can choose the TV you want to buy based on price or other criteria. But you know the listed price is the price you must pay, because you cannot negotiate with SEARS on price.

My theory is that when a potential buyer knows that the asking price is based on an independent appraisal that the seller gains real marketing advantage. The buyer can’t discount the negative items affecting the property such as age, condition, location, etc. because the appraisal already took each item into consideration during the appraisal process. The price thus becomes “objective” rather than “subjective”. And I think that makes selling a home in a difficult market much easier.

A short case in point: Last year I got a listing next to a large school parking lot exit on a busy street in Key West. The house had sustained some flooding during Hurricane Wilma. And there were three similarly sized houses for sale across the street. The seller was the sister of the deceased former owner. She lives a thousand miles away. She had to get a home equity loan on her own home to continue making mortgage payments and pay other expenses on the Key West property. Another Realtor told her she could ask for substantially more than my approach. I showed her mathematically the cost of ownership on a monthly basis, and she saw how much holding out for a “wish price” could potentially cost her. She accepted my approach. I got the listing, and we closed the deal 53 days after listing at 98.91% of asking price.

By using the appraisal as part of my marketing strategy I was able to get the seller to accept listing the property at a realistic price. The seller was disobliged of questioning whether she could have sold for more money. And I was also able deflect potential buyers’ criticism by showing that all the property’s negative attributes were already taken into consideration in pricing the property.

This approach works. Banks use it all the time. It takes the drama out of selling your home. It treats the process as a business deal.

If you are thinking of listing your home or business for sale in Key West, think about contacting me. You may not know my name, but now you know my game. And it works. Call Gary Thomas 305-766-2642.

Thursday, April 5, 2007

Less Is More




Ludwig Mies van der Rohe famously said, "Less is more." And when I decided to write about a little house on Elizabeth Street, that phrase came through so loud and clear.

The house at 514 Elizabeth hasn't changed much since it was built in 1922--according to county records (which are notoriously incorrect!). It's facade certainly hasn't changed since I sold it ten years ago as a second home to a couple from New York. Yesterday I happened to see the owner trimming the shrubs by the front porch. We talked for a bit and he invited me in to see the pool that they added to the property.

I had forgotten how utterly charming this little 1 1/2 story home is. As I walked inside I was immediately transported to another time when material honesty and structural integrity were more important than marble, granite, faux finishes, designer cabinets, stainless steel appliances, name brand this and that. The simplicity of design and the materials used was breathtaking.

The floors are painted, not stained. The windows, doors, doorknobs, hinges and other architectural relics are from an era gone by long ago. The rooms are small but not tiny. They serve their intended purpose. The bedroom on the second floor still has its scuttle, a small hatch with a movable lid in the roof that permits the warm air to rise to the outside. There are two additions to the house. The kitchen and living room were additions built by the previous owner a little over 10 years ago. And the current owners built a small cottage next to the new pool and deck. There is also a small terrace below the deck that is dwarfed by the majestic trees from Nancy's Secret Garden located next door.

Many potential buyers look at homes as projects to tackle and rebuild. If every owner had messed with the house at 514 Elizabeth Street, it would not be the quiet little charmer it is today. Sometimes it is better off to leave things alone.

I personally don't think all houses need granite counter tops, marble baths, or odd looking bowls that sit on a cabinet that are to be used as a sink where you shave and brush your teeth. This house certainly does not. It would look ridiculous and totally out of character.

There are some splendid little houses like the one at 514 Elizabeth Street looking for new owners. If you are looking for such a house, please give me a call at 1-305-776-2642. Or CLICK HERE to search all of the Key West mls listings.

709 Bakers Lane is a Bargain




I have mentioned several times that I used to do commercial loan workouts for commercial banks in Denver. The Denver economy went bust in the late 1970's and both the housing market and commercial real estate market took a steep nosedive. I never knew a good economy until I moved to Key West. I mistakenly thought we were immune from the economic pressures of the rest of the world because of our isolation and the scarcity of real property.

Two months ago I wrote about a great property at 709 Bakers Lane that I thought was a great buy then. CLICK HERE to read that blog. The house was originally designed and renovated to sell for $2.8 million. The owners are Realtors and have done several successful projects in Key West. They relocated to Ft. Lauderdale and the three building compound was just reduced to $1,749,000. The three buildings total 2300 square feet on a 5700 square foot lot in the heart of Old Town and at one of the highest points on the island. The property is surrounded by expensive homes, but is an enclave to itself. It is within walking distance to everything Key West has to offer, but it is secluded from the hubbub of our busy little city. The asking price equates to $760 per square foot.

CLICK HERE for more details and photos of this property that I think is a bargain. This property is not for every buyer. It is unique, even by Key West standards.

CLICK HEREto find your own good property in Key West's mls database. And then call me for more information. 1-8777-778-7092.

Wednesday, April 4, 2007

Holy Flipper Batman







A few weeks ago I wrote a blog about the new Santa Maria Condominiums. CLICK HERE to read that blog. I wasn't impressed. I think the project has many flaws and the units are overpriced. I abhor the architecture of the new building. And I think the 40% managemtn fee for condo owners is ridiculous! But that is not the point of today's post.

A top story in today's Key West Citizen discusses a lawsuit filed by seven disgruntled buyers who purchased units at the project prior to or during construction and who now claim the were defrauded by the developer, the real estate company, and three realtors who marketed the project. CLICK HERE to read the article.

"The plaintiffs were assured by the defendants that once the building was under construction, prices would increase dramatically as they were contracting at a bargain price, therefore there would be no issue with the plaintiffs being able to resell their investment contracts to somebody else at a profit," the lawsuit says.

But later in the complaint plaintiffs admit "Plaintiffs ... did not carefully read the agreements, did not get professional advice regarding the agreements and ignored the language and disclaimers in the agreements as they were assured they would never have to close as their contracts would be resold at a higher dollar amount prior to closing."

If we could all only sue someone else for our greed and stupidity. I do not know the facts of their individual cases, but I did get to experience a sales presentation with a customer who was interested in the project. I listened intently as the rep went through the litany of all the things that were promised, but I also heard him say all the things that would cover his backside if things went south. My customer heard only the good stuff, and wanted to buy. He didn't have any money, however, and wanted to borrow the hefty down payment. Seller wasn't in the business of financing down payments so the deal did not get made. My guy didn't have a nickle, but he wanted to participate in the buying frenzy that was going on in late December 2004.

Two and a half years later the would be flippers who did have the money are having to pay up and close on their contracts, or lose their hefty earnest money deposits. I personally know many locals who bought into various projects or existing properties thinking they would hold them and later flip them for a profit. And many of those folk are in deep trouble today. Many.

I personally think now is a good time to buy because prices have taken a major correction downward. That doesn't mean they are going lower. I can't predict the future. But I do think there are some real buying opportunities in Key West. I know that there are several "big deals" in the works. And smart buyers are snapping up good properties. Good is always like gold. Gold may go up and down with the market, but gold will always be gold. And good properties will always be good properties.

CLICK HERE to find your own good property in Key West's mls database. And then call me for more information. 1-877-778-7092.

Monday, April 2, 2007

The Boomer Century






“The Boomer Century: 1946-2046” is a two-hour documentary that looks to the baby boomers’ past for clues to how this generation of 78 million Americans will shape the future. The program focuses on the boomers’ formative years to reveal the personality traits of a generation that has since rewritten the rules for work, marriage and parenthood, and is now redefining retirement and aging.


The Boomer Century is currently airing on PBS stations across the country. I have watched it twice, since it is all about me. Well, me and millions of other baby boomers. I was born on January 1, 1947 so I started the whole damned thing. If you are a boomer, you owe it to yourself to spend two hours to see how we got to where we are today.

Ten Interesting Facts about Boomers:
1. The number of baby boomers in America is estimated at 78.2 million.
2. Approximately 7,918 Americans turn 60 each day. That’s about 330 every hour or more than four million a year in 2006.
3. Within 20 years, the age profile of America will match that of Florida – about one in five Americans will be older than 65.
4. Boomers who reach age 65 in 2011 can expect to live, on average, at least another 18 years.
5. Four out of 10 boomers have less than $10,000 in retirement savings.
6. One-third of boomer households today have at least $100,00 in investable assets.
7. About one-third of baby boomers think they will have enough money to live comfortably once they retire.
8. Four out of five boomers intend to keep working and earning in retirement. Half of boomers plan to launch into an entirely new job or career in retirement.
9. Only one in seven baby boomers say they plan to collect Social Security benefits at age 62.
10. The unpredictable cost of illness and healthcare is by far boomers' biggest fear. They are three times more worried about a major illness (48%), their ability to pay for healthcare (53%) or winding up in a nursing home (48%), than about dying (17%).

Most of my clients have been or are boomers. They still consider themselves young, but are usually looking for a second home or investment property that they can eventually retire to a few years down the line. If you are considering such an investment, whether you are a boomer or not, you can CLICK HERE to search all current mls listing in the lower Florida Keys. Then consider calling me at 1-305-766-2642 for further information.

Sunday, April 1, 2007

April Fool's Day Open House



I'm not fooling, I'm working today. Hosting an Open House at the Sea Isle Townhomes on Windsor Lane. Come see me between 11:300 to 2:00 this afternoon.

By the way, that's not me in the photo. He is sitting in front of Fast Buck Freddie's, I think. It's a Key West variation on "I'll work for food." Who wants to work when you can live off tourists...

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The information on this site is for discussion purposes only. Under no circumstances does this information constitute a recommendation to buy or sell securities, assets, real estate, or otherwise. Information has not been verified, is not guaranteed, and is subject to change.
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